Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1229.711765 1419.278517 1638.659556 1913.771748 2253.037259 2662.364974 3.200777e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 981.407310 1224.036506 1536.237187 1977.310941 2601.348084 3480.631189 4.868289e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 843.550900 1102.940946 1459.486654 2003.918366 2850.388921 4185.962373 6.618201e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 735.454536 995.505663 1370.999895 1979.719279 3000.267423 4770.433862 8.432250e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 670.445132 935.673760 1335.870924 2021.249901 3255.428852 5605.975176 1.116251e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 595.184552 848.800384 1243.710061 1947.726415 3285.372196 6025.472948 1.325431e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 536.831299 780.103930 1169.499394 1888.970154 3324.535043 6473.638693 1.573180e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 487.014007 719.029931 1099.222183 1823.731740 3333.039958 6855.906169 1.833500e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 469.647805 708.288755 1111.925796 1914.451946 3690.645574 8227.229715 2.554202e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 448.522476 688.705382 1106.085674 1967.100495 3978.338149 9561.409275 3.448534e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 427.915002 667.725654 1094.747863 2005.921281 4244.680745 10982.852420 4.639678e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 403.118783 636.999353 1061.531952 1992.137076 4374.646012 12049.667291 5.876342e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 385.766239 619.303928 1053.639897 2039.244911 4702.266442 14108.933881 8.511284e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 372.544714 608.074335 1057.491718 2115.860196 5149.920821 17061.371687 1.353422e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 355.903707 588.755380 1042.443875 2144.167743 5464.964676 19778.348004 2.064380e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 336.026661 561.529189 1007.923215 2117.799382 5597.220875 21776.348145 2.919137e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 324.050097 548.461193 1001.706382 2163.188437 5996.200347 25753.198308 5.092110e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 303.229374 516.446248 951.373691 2082.838994 5915.279007 26765.889872 6.672135e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 285.465316 489.280547 909.233321 2018.688346 5879.012975 28116.649872 9.189465e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 268.665391 462.959497 866.725168 1947.525800 5796.448487 29116.147100 1.241120e+06
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 265.049207 462.939115 883.163934 2046.502810 6447.677668 37025.152336 3.853532e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 258.728191 456.868081 885.100115 2104.003715 6957.509129 45067.830780 1.486040e+07
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 251.815848 449.041957 882.117684 2146.430351 7426.471759 54172.323207 1.185599e+08